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US economic growth expected to moderate in 2026
US GDP growth is forecast at 2 percent in 2026 as inflation eases while financial conditions remain relatively tight.
Forecasts for 2026 project US GDP growth at approximately 2.0 %, with inflation expected at 2.8 % and unemployment near 4.5 % . Economists cited resilient consumer spending and easing inflation pressures as supportive factors. However, higher interest rates continue to constrain housing and business investment, keeping policymakers focused on balancing growth with price stability. However, elevated interest rates continue to limit housing and business investment.