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Market Recoveries Begin Once Uncertainty Stabilizes
Equity rebounds often start when clarity emerges, even before full conflict resolution.
Markets typically reach their bottom once the "unknowns" become "knowns," even if the news is still negative. Stabilization often occurs when the scope of a conflict is clearly defined, allowing investors to recalculate risks and return to the market. Historically, the S&P 500 has recovered its initial losses within six months of a conflict's start, provided the crisis does not lead to global recession.