UBS Sees India as Third-Largest Economy by 2028 Despite Valuation Risks

UBS projects India as the world’s third-largest economy by 2028, but flags rich equity valuations as a near-term risk.

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UBS Sees India as Third-Largest Economy by 2028 Despite Valuation Risks

UBS Sees India as Third-Largest Economy by 2028 Despite Valuation Risks
UBS projects India’s economy will become the world’s third-largest by 2028, buoyed by steady household consumption growth of ~7.9% CAGR. The bank expects real GDP to grow at ~6.4% in FY 27 and remain strong through FY 30. 
However, UBS warns that high equity valuations pose a risk. It rates Indian equities as “Overweight”, but cautions that they trade at a 48% premium versus emerging markets on forward P/E, pointing to possible corrections if macro conditions sour. 
Companies:
  • UBS
Tags:
  • economy
  • india