IMF projects global growth at 3.2% in 2025 but warns of persistent headwinds

IMF lifts its 2025 global growth forecast to 3.2% but emphasises that momentum is weak and uneven across regions.

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IMF projects global growth at 3.2% in 2025 but warns of persistent headwinds

IMF projects global growth at 3.2% in 2025 but warns of persistent headwinds
The International Monetary Fund in its October 2025 outlook raised this year’s global GDP estimate to about 3.2 %, from earlier forecasts near 3.0 %, but cautioned that momentum remains fragile and uneven across regions. Advanced economies are projected to grow around 1.5 %, while emerging markets may hover just above 4 %. The IMF flagged elevated policy uncertainty, tilted consumer demand and trade-friction risks as key drags, suggesting that more structural reforms will be needed for a meaningful rebound. 
Investors and policymakers were advised to build resilience amid a low-growth regime.