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1h agoMorgan Stanley flags crude‑oil surge as India’s key macro risk for 2025
In its latest strategy note, Morgan Stanley cautions that while India’s oil‑intensity of GDP has steadily fallen, a sharp crude‑oil price spike remains the ‘defining bear risk’ for 2025.
The report states a sustained oil surge could reverse terms of trade, weaken the rupee, and pressure equity valuations.
While the brokerage retains its Overweight call on India, it emphasises that oil remains the largest single risk variable for markets and macro stability.
neutral
1h agoMorgan Stanley flags crude‑oil surge as India’s key macro risk for 2025
In its latest strategy note, Morgan Stanley cautions that while India’s oil‑intensity of GDP has steadily fallen, a sharp crude‑oil price spike remains the ‘defining bear risk’ for 2025.
The report states a sustained oil surge could reverse terms of trade, weaken the rupee, and pressure equity valuations.
While the brokerage retains its Overweight call on India, it emphasises that oil remains the largest single risk variable for markets and macro stability.
about 2 hours ago
1 min read
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Morgan Stanley says a crude spike remains India’s main tail‑risk for 2025, despite falling oil intensity.
In its latest strategy note, Morgan Stanley cautions that while India’s oil‑intensity of GDP has steadily fallen, a sharp crude‑oil price spike remains the ‘defining bear risk’ for 2025.
The report states a sustained oil surge could reverse terms of trade, weaken the rupee, and pressure equity valuations.
While the brokerage retains its Overweight call on India, it emphasises that oil remains the largest single risk variable for markets and macro stability.
In its latest strategy note, Morgan Stanley cautions that while India’s oil‑intensity of GDP has steadily fallen, a sharp crude‑oil price spike remains the ‘defining bear risk’ for 2025.
The report states a sustained oil surge could reverse terms of trade, weaken the rupee, and pressure equity valuations.
While the brokerage retains its Overweight call on India, it emphasises that oil remains the largest single risk variable for markets and macro stability.
Companies:
Morgan Stanley
Tags:
economy
india
economy
india
commodities
oil
macro_risk
Nov 8, 2025 • 20:57 IST