Markets reassess December Fed cut as odds fall below 50%

Markets are scaling back chances of a December Fed rate cut as uncertainty mounts around future easing.

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Markets reassess December Fed cut as odds fall below 50%

Markets reassess December Fed cut as odds fall below 50%
Investor optimism around a December rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve is fading, with markets now pricing in a 50–53% probability. The reassessment comes amid mixed data, sticky inflation, and commentary from Fed officials signalling a slower easing cycle. 
As the outlook tilts to ‘higher-for-longer,’ risk assets are recalibrating, and bond yields are seeing upward pressure. The shift could reshape portfolio strategies across global investors headed into year-end.