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IMF lifts global 2025 growth forecast amid easing tariffs

IMF raises 2025 growth forecast to 3.
The International Monetary Fund raised its projection for global GDP growth in 2025 to 3.2%, citing more benign trade policies, stabilizing financial conditions, and rising investment in AI. The upgraded outlook offsets some risks such as U.S.-China tensions and inflation pressures. The IMF warned that sustained trade escalation could trim growth by up to 1.2 percentage points in 2026. Countries with weak fiscal buffers remain vulnerable to external shocks.